Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.000735 0.000840 0.000950 0.001076 0.001214 0.001362 0.001530
2025-03-30 0.000570 0.000715 0.000878 0.001076 0.001307 0.001567 0.001880
2025-04-06 0.000476 0.000636 0.000825 0.001064 0.001354 0.001692 0.002111
2025-04-13 0.000399 0.000566 0.000773 0.001043 0.001383 0.001790 0.002309
2025-04-20 0.000358 0.000534 0.000760 0.001065 0.001459 0.001942 0.002571
2025-04-27 0.000322 0.000503 0.000745 0.001079 0.001522 0.002077 0.002814
2025-05-04 0.000282 0.000463 0.000712 0.001068 0.001549 0.002164 0.002996
2025-05-11 0.000246 0.000425 0.000678 0.001049 0.001563 0.002234 0.003155
2025-05-18 0.000225 0.000405 0.000668 0.001063 0.001620 0.002358 0.003387
2025-05-25 0.000203 0.000382 0.000651 0.001064 0.001658 0.002458 0.003587
2025-06-01 0.000176 0.000348 0.000614 0.001033 0.001649 0.002492 0.003699
2025-06-08 0.000153 0.000317 0.000580 0.001004 0.001640 0.002525 0.003807
2025-06-15 0.000138 0.000298 0.000564 0.001002 0.001671 0.002613 0.003997
2025-06-22 0.000124 0.000281 0.000549 0.001000 0.001702 0.002704 0.004192
2025-06-29 0.000110 0.000262 0.000529 0.000990 0.001717 0.002772 0.004355
2025-07-06 0.000096 0.000242 0.000505 0.000970 0.001718 0.002817 0.004486
2025-07-13 0.000091 0.000236 0.000506 0.000991 0.001781 0.002955 0.004752
2025-07-20 0.000084 0.000228 0.000502 0.001004 0.001833 0.003076 0.004995
2025-07-27 0.000075 0.000214 0.000485 0.000993 0.001845 0.003138 0.005153
2025-08-03 0.000066 0.000198 0.000465 0.000975 0.001845 0.003182 0.005285
2025-08-10 0.000061 0.000192 0.000463 0.000988 0.001896 0.003302 0.005532
2025-08-17 0.000056 0.000183 0.000454 0.000989 0.001926 0.003393 0.005735
2025-08-24 0.000048 0.000167 0.000430 0.000960 0.001905 0.003402 0.005816